[Solomonov Seminar] 236. Solomonov seminar

Marko Grobelnik marko.grobelnik at ijs.si
Tue Oct 25 17:53:47 CEST 2011


V sredo 26.10. ob 10:00 bo v Predavalnici Mednarodne podiplomske sole IJS
(prvo nadstropje glavne stavbe IJS) 236. Solomonov seminar.
Posnetki preteklih seminarjev so na http://videolectures.net/solomon/

Predaval bo Gregory Duane iz Makedonske akademije znanosti in umetnosti
o doseganju konseza med racunskimi modeli.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Gregory Duane, Macedonian Academy of Science and Arts, Skopje

Supermodeling:  Consensus by Synchronization of Alternative Models

Computational models of an ongoing objective process, as in weather
forecasting, must continually assimilate new observational data as they 
run.
Both ``truth" and ``model" are chaotic systems that thus synchronize 
through
a limited exchange of information in one direction - a phenomenon that can
be characterized as machine perception. A recent suggestion has been to
envision the fusion of different models analogously, as 3-way 
synchronization
of the different models with reality. This phenomenon may be useful for
improving climate projection by combining a few different models that 
differ
in regard to the magnitude of global warming and regional predictions.
Several machine learning approaches have been proposed to train the
connections linking corresponding variables in the different models.
Stochastic approaches can avoid non-global local optima, but it seems 
likely
that an intelligent "expert system" approach would improve the supermodel.



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