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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body link="#0563C1" vlink="#954F72"><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoNormal><a name="_Hlk20313133"></a><a name="_Hlk41470923"><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>Vabimo vas na 13. predavanje iz sklopa "Kolokviji na IJS" v letu 2019/20, ki bo <strong><span style='color:red'>v sredo, 10. junija 2020, ob 13. uri</span></strong> v Veliki predavalnici Instituta »Jožef Stefan« na Jamovi cesti 39 v Ljubljani. Predavanje lahko spremljate tudi na youtubu na</span></span></a><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL style='font-size:11.0pt;mso-fareast-language:#1000'> </span><span lang=SL>spletnem naslovu </span></span></span><a href="https://youtu.be/IqJ542LBQRk"><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>https://youtu.be/IqJ542LBQRk</span></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'></span></span></a><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><strong><span lang=SL style='font-weight:normal'><o:p></o:p></span></strong></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>Napovednik predavanja najdete tudi na naslovu </span></span></span><a href="http://www.ijs.si/ijsw/Koledar_prireditev"><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>http://www.ijs.si/ijsw/Koledar_prireditev</span></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'></span></span></a><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>, posnetke preteklih predavanj<span style='color:blue'> </span>pa na </span></span></span><a href="http://videolectures.net/kolokviji_ijs"><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>http://videolectures.net/kolokviji_ijs</span></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'></span></span></a><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>. <o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~<br><br></span></span></span><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><b><span lang=EN-US><o:p></o:p></span></b></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><b><span lang=EN-US>prof. dr. Iztok Tiselj<o:p></o:p></span></b></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><i><span lang=EN-US>Institut Jožef Stefan in Fakulteta za matematiko in fiziko, Ljubljana <o:p></o:p></span></i></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><i><span lang=EN-US><o:p> </o:p></span></i></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><b><span lang=SL style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Cambria",serif;color:#1C1E29'><o:p> </o:p></span></b></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><b><span lang=SL style='font-size:14.0pt;font-family:"Cambria",serif;color:#1C1E29'>10<sup>-3<o:p></o:p></sup></span></b></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL><o:p> </o:p></span></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>V uvodnem delu predavanja bomo ločili strah in tveganje – strah kot subjektiven in nemerljiv parameter za ocenjevanje nevarnosti, ki je ključen za naše hitre odločitve, ter tveganje, ki ga v varnostnih analizah kvantificiramo z verjetnostjo za nezaželen dogodek in naj bi predstavljal osnovo za racionalne odločitve. V nadaljevanju bomo predstavili tipična tveganja, ki jim je v življenju izpostavljen človek, in mednje uvrstil tveganje, ki ga predstavlja COVID-19. Na primeru novega virusa bomo predstavili "izgubljena leta" kot parameter za merjenje škode, ki jo povzroči izbrani dejavnik tveganja, ter nekaj ocen vložka, ki ga je smiselno nameniti zmanjševanju škode.<o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL><o:p> </o:p></span></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='text-align:justify'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><span lang=SL>Predavanje bo v slovenščini.<o:p></o:p></span></span></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='mso-margin-top-alt:auto;margin-bottom:12.0pt'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk41470923'><span style='mso-bookmark:_Hlk20313133'><strong><span lang=SL style='color:red'>Lepo vabljeni!</span></strong></span></span><strong><span lang=SL style='color:red'><o:p></o:p></span></strong></p><p class=MsoNormal><span lang=SL><o:p> </o:p></span></p></div></body></html>